The public showcase — three studies, open data

See it on real ground.

Every study on this page ran on 100% public data — open-file surveys, public drillholes, published maps. That is what makes an open showcase safe: no client project appears here, and every figure and number below is drawn from the committed study record, never written by hand.

The featured study is Pilgangoora — lithium, exploration to closure, all of it public. Winu and the NSW Macquarie Arc follow, each with its own honest verdict.

Featured study100% public data

Pilgangoora (Li) — exploration to closure

The full asset lifecycle, run on public data over the Pilgangoora lithium district (Western Australia): exploration screening, resource, development, operations and closure — with the uncertainty carried forward at every stage and every demonstration-scale step labelled as such.

Pilgangoora exploration-to-closure spine: uncertainty flows forward through exploration, resource, development, operations, and closure
Our own figure from the published study — the exploration-to-closure spine, uncertainty carried forward at every stage.
  • 18.9% Li-silicate abundance predicted from whole-rock chemistry, against 20.8% measured independently by TIMA mineralogy.
  • Committed tripwire: if lepidolite ever appears in the predicted assemblage, the anchor fails.The bar lives in version-controlled code, not in prose.
Blind test100% public data

Winu (Cu-Au) — blind prospectivity test

A blind prospectivity test over the Winu Cu-Au discovery (Western Australia), on open-file data alone. The skill is modest and reported exactly as measured — every anchor below is quoted from the committed study record, tolerances included.

  • AUC 0.57under spatial-block cross-validation, committed tolerance ±0.02.
  • The Winu window ranks in the top 13% of the screened area.
  • 6,912 mineralised intervals at ≥ 0.1% Cu in the 93-hole follow-up note — count exact, all sulphur-bearing.
  • Hole-aggregate Cu–AI Spearman ρ -0.0390.005): effectively no rank correlation.Published because it is what the data shows.
The honest limit100% public data

NSW Macquarie Arc (Cadia-Ridgeway · Northparkes) — a methods-and-limits study

Run end-to-end, blind, on 100% public NSW field data. It reproduces the documented geophysical reality of both porphyry districts — including, honestly, where regional potential fields do not localize deep or magnetite-destructive orebodies. That limit is the finding: a record that can show where a method stops working is a record you can trust where it does.

The full report is being prepared for public release; until then the study lives in the ledger.

The wider record

These three are the cleared face of a larger discipline: ~24 blind, pre-registered studies, every verdict recorded as it came out. Every count below is computed from the committed ledger.

36committed metrics
11met (incl. qualified)
18not met
7pending

Fails are published on the same page as the passes. See the full ledger →